The Winter Games in Sochi are expected to boost the economy by 0.3 percent amid a continuing stagnation, says a report by the Russian Central Bank.
According to it, the event will have a positive impact, especially in the first quarter, driven by more demand in the hotel, catering and transportation services. This could add an extra 0.3 percent to the national GDP.
In terms of the long-term impact, there are concerns over the payback period of the newly-built facilities and their maintenance costs. But the long-term benefits will outweigh any negative factors in the long run.
But even the most conservative projections will now have to be revised, after the markets collapsed on Monday following an announcement of a possible military invasion of Ukraine’s Crimea by the Russian army.
The events in Ukraine have sent the Russian stock market and national currency in free fall, with the biggest blue chips like Sberbank or Gazprom shrinking by an average of 15-23 percent.
The tough international response over Russia’s intentions in Crimea triggered a massive sale of Russian stocks. RTS sunk 13.32 percent to 1,098.51 points to hit a low since September 2009. MICEX plunged 11.64 percent to 1,276.59.
A further fall by as much as 3 percent could force the stock exchange to suspend trading for 30 minutes. In case of a steeper decline, trading will be put off till next day. Throughout the day, the Moscow Stock Exchange suspended trading in the stocks of Mostotrest, FSK UES, Rosseti, MOESK, Kamaz, Mechel, Irkutskenergo after they devalued by more than 20 percent.
According to the Exchange, the volume on the foreign exchange section broke the $42 billion threshold, double the February average of $22-23 billion. The Central Bank is forced to resort to mass injections to keep the national currency afloat.
By 4.30 pm Moscow time, a whole raft of Russian giants were hit, including Gazprom (-14.56 percent), VTB (-18.82 percent), Gazprom Neft (-8.71 percent), Lukoil (-10.05 percent), Novatek (-14.42 percent), Norilsk Nickel (-6.19 percent), Polyus Gold (-9.29 percent), Rosneft (-7.62 percent), Rostelecom (-13.89 percent), Sberbank (-17.09 percent), FSK UES (-23.69%). The capitalization of the Russian companies listed on MICEX shrank by 2.1 trillion roubles to total 18.4.
Author: Mikhail Vesely